Rivers Political Crisis:David Oguzirim draws concerns of Tinubu's vested interest on both sides for 2027.

Wike Is Not in Control — He Is Being Used, and He Will Be Discarded. 
By David Oguzierem

Nyesom Wike is not in control of Rivers State political happenings. Not today. Not tomorrow. Not again.

A man who is truly in control does not bark while others decide. A landlord does not beg tenants. And a political godfather who still “owns” a state does not fail three times—three loud, embarrassing times—to remove one man standing in his way.
Wike is not running Rivers. He is being used. And like every political tool in Nigeria, once he has served his purpose, he will be quietly dropped by the roadside.

If the Presidency truly wanted to hand Rivers State to Wike as an inherited estate, this drama would not exist. The impeachment of Governor Siminalayi Fubara would have sailed through effortlessly—police cover, legal backing, federal silence, and political approval. That is how real power works in Nigeria.
But that didn’t happen.
Instead, impeachment failed.

Once.
Twice.
Three times.

When impeachment fails three times, it is no longer resistance. It is design.
That single fact alone exposes the lie that Wike is in charge.

Tinubu Is the New Landlord of Rivers State. 
Let us call things by their real names.

Bola Ahmed Tinubu is the new landlord of Rivers State.
Wike sold it wholesale.

You cannot eat your cake and still have it. When Wike traded Rivers political independence for personal relevance at the federal level, he surrendered ownership. Simple economics. Simple politics.
From that moment, whatever Tinubu wants is what will happen in Rivers State—today, tomorrow, and going forward. The script is no longer written in Port Harcourt. It is written in Abuja.
That is why no one is allowed to win completely.
That is why no one is allowed to lose completely.

That is why Rivers must remain tense, suspended, and dependent.

The President does not want a Rivers State in flames. He wants a Rivers State on pause—where everybody needs him, fears him, negotiates with him, and owes him.

This is not sentiment. This is strategy.
Wike: Loud, Angry, But Powerless
Wike’s greatest weakness is not arrogance. It is overconfidence in old relevance.

He still believes intimidation works. He still believes fear guarantees loyalty. He still believes shouting equals control. But Rivers politics has moved on—and he did not move with it.

The facts are clear:
A sitting governor he installed refused to bow.

A House of Assembly he influenced could not deliver impeachment.
 
Federal power he aligned with refused to finish the job
That is not dominance. That is decline.

Wike is being tolerated, not trusted. Used, not empowered. And history is brutal to men who confuse access with authority.

Fubara: The New Bride of Rivers Politics

Governor Siminalayi Fubara is not powerful because he is aggressive.
He is powerful because people see themselves in him.
Fubara is the new bride—not because he campaigned for sympathy, but because Wike’s oppression created empathy. 

Nigerians understand intimidation. Rivers people have felt it. And when intimidation meets calm resistance, the crowd always sides with the calm man.

Fubara did not insult.
He did not threaten.
He did not burn bridges.
He endured.

And in Nigerian politics, endurance is a dangerous weapon.

That is why attempts to humiliate him backfired. That is why each failed impeachment made him stronger. That is why today, removing Fubara is politically costlier than keeping him.

He has become useful—to the Presidency, to balance, to optics, to 2027.

This Is No Longer About Wike vs Fubara

Let nobody deceive you.
This fight is no longer Wike versus Fubara. That fight is just noise for the gallery. The real contest is Tinubu versus 2027.

The President wants everyone—Wike’s camp, Fubara’s camp, lawmakers, elders, churches, unions, militants—trapped on the same shaky boat, rowing in one direction: his re-election.

Nobody must feel completely cheated.
Nobody must feel completely victorious.

Balance of fear.
Balance of hope.

That is why Rivers State is no longer being governed. It is being managed. Like a chessboard. Every silence is deliberate. Every delay is calculated. Every confusion is profitable.

Who Wins at the End?
Not Wike.
Not the Assembly.
Not even Fubara.
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

While Rivers people argue online, pop champagne, trade insults, and shout “victory,” the President quietly harvests loyalty, leverage, gratitude, and fear from all sides.

Everybody owes him today.
Everybody will need him tomorrow.

That is the brutal truth.
But of course—

You are free to believe whatever helps you sleep at night.
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